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Macro for Professionals ยท Lesson 2

Inflation, real rates and gold

The rate that really matters

Professional - Gold & Platinum

Inflation, real rates and gold

In this lesson

Calculate real interest rates and understand how they influence gold, growth stocks and risk appetite.

Key takeaways

  • Real interest rate = nominal rate โˆ’ (expected) inflation; inflation-linked bonds show it directly.
  • Higher real yields raise the opportunity cost of gold and shrink the present value of distant profits.
  • Falling real yields have tended to support gold and growth stocks.
  • Relationships shift โ€” e.g. strong central-bank gold buying in 2023โ€“24.
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