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Building & Testing a Strategy · Lesson 2

Honest back-testing

Costs, biases and the numbers that matter

Professional - Gold & Platinum

Honest back-testing

In this lesson

Include realistic costs and avoid look-ahead and survivorship bias so back-test results mean something.

Key takeaways

  • Include fees and slippage on every trade; high-frequency strategies are most sensitive.
  • Look-ahead bias uses information not available at the time.
  • Survivorship bias ignores delisted or failed assets; data snooping finds luck.
  • Judge maximum drawdown, expectancy, trade count and losing-period length — not just total return.
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Next lesson: Overfitting and walk-forward testing

Educational information only - not financial advice.

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