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Macro for Professionals ยท Lesson 5

Trading the economic calendar

Surprises, consensus and risk around events

Professional - Gold & Platinum

Trading the economic calendar

In this lesson

Read economic releases against consensus, understand typical market reactions, and manage risk around events.

Key takeaways

  • Markets react to the surprise versus consensus, not to the headline number itself.
  • A hot inflation surprise typically lifts yields and the dollar and pressures stocks and crypto.
  • Highest-impact releases: inflation, jobs, central-bank decisions, GDP.
  • Around events, reduce size, expect wider spreads and slippage, or wait.
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